New-Look Syndergaard fights back to New York

Noah Sendergaard
Wendell Cruz USA Today Sports

Noah SendergaardHis return to New York on Tuesday night did not go well. On his first start in the Big Apple since signing with the Angels last November, the 29-year-old right-winger gave up five runs and didn’t come out in the third as his team extended their losing streak to six games via a 9-1 beating at the hands of the Yankees. Having missed out on almost all of the past two seasons due to Tommy John’s surgery, the once-toughest bowler to start the game has been in the process of reinventing himself, but the results have been somewhat mixed.

Synergaard agreed to a one-year, $21 million deal with the Angels last November, a day before the deadline to accept or decline the eligible $18.4 million offer he received from the Mets. Missed the whole 2020 season after that UCL shredded him in March Then he started only two runs last year after setbacks in his rehab — first a bout of inflammation in his right elbow in late May, then testing positive for COVID-19 in late August — so it came as no surprise for him to stay in Queens on a one-year deal and bring back build its value. And while Syndergaard has had interest from many suitors, some of whom are willing to sign him to a multi-year contract despite his long absence, he told reporters he was intrigued by the angels’ plan to keep him healthy. Across Rhett Bollinger from MLBcom:

“There was no thought once I had a meeting with Perry,” Sendergaard said on Friday. “He had a really in-depth plan of attack to get me back to where I was in 2015, 16 and 18. He hadn’t been showing off for two years, he had a great game plan and I’m 100% confident that will keep me healthy and allow me to thrive and thrive to my true potential.”

She appealed to the idea of ​​participating in a six-man Syndergaard tournament, as it would help keep his full innings at a manageable level in his first full season after elbow surgery. Angels use six-man rotation to make way for a bi-directional star Shuhei Ohtaniwho have been healthy throughout the 2021 season while making 23 starts and throwing 130 1/3 rounds.

Sendergaard said his running total will be limited next season, but he hasn’t thought through everything just yet.

For this extension that Syndergaard mentioned, he was one of the best shooters in baseball…when it was available. From 2015 to 18 only Clayton Kershaw outperformed the Syndergaard 2.66 FIP; Just Kershaw, mate Jacob DegromAnd the Max Scherzer beat his right 2.93 ERA; And only eight shooters had a higher strike walking difference than their 21.6% (27.1% strike rate, 5.5% walk rate) counterpart. The Syndergaard 14.4 WAR for that period ranked “only” 15 because it threw only 518.1 runs in that period, a total of 71 for the majors. Wide, tense Dorsey was limited to seven starts and 30.1 runs in 2017 (who can forget He refused to take an MRI Shoulder and biceps discomfort, followed by a break first and then an absence of about five months?), then he missed nearly seven weeks in 2018 due to a strain in the ligaments of his right index finger.

Syndergaard’s four-seat fastball speed during that time window was peerless:

Fastball four-stage speed pioneers among beginner shooters, 2015-18

Source: world of baseball

The data includes games only as a novice pitcher, with a minimum of 1,000 four-stitch fastballs per period. Surgery appointments via Tommy John Surgery Database (http://goo.gl/3IN6HM)

Only two of the starting pitchers were within a mile per hour of Syndergaard, but as you can see from that last column, those tough pitches came at a cost, with more than half of the pitchers above ending up needing Tommy John surgery – some before that window and some during And some after. And sure enough, it wasn’t just the fastballs in the four-year range that frayed and ruptured the ulnar collateral ligaments; So were the curves, sliders, and general wear (wear) of the job. In the case of Syndergaard, this included faster averages for skaters (91.6 mph, 1.6 mph faster than second deGrom) and changes (89.8 mph, 0.7 mph before second place) Jose Urena) like that.

All of these league-leading speed ratings hold up if you extend the window into 2019, but Syndergaard’s final season before injury was a stepping down. While he started 32 for the only time in his career and scored a high of 197.2 innings, he recorded his career worst in ERA (4.28) and FIP (3.60). He threw 43.1 more rounds than the previous season, but his War of 4.3 was only 0.1 higher.

Two and a half years and 2,800 miles after that season, the Syndergaard is a different pitcher in terms of speed and ammunition:

Noah Syndergaard change ammunition

spit 2015-19% 2022% % difference 2015-19 Phil 2022 fellow Philo Dave
four stitches 30.3% 23.0% -7.3% 98.0 94.0 -4.0
sinker 27.6% 27.1% -0.5% 97.7 94.1 -3.6
slider 15.3% 16.7% + 1.4% 90.9 83.5 -7.4
change 14.4% 25.5% + 11.1% 90.2 88.5 -1.7
curve 11.9% 7.7% -4.2% 81.8 76.5 -5.3

Source: world of baseball

Both Syndergaard’s four-wheeler speedball and speedball dropped to nearly four full flicks — he transiently hit 96 mph all season, while never dropping below that pre-surgery mark — and slipped His slide is more than seven. Right before the season, he said so expect His speed is on the rise as the season goes on, but his average velo speed on each of his fastballs actually dropped by about one mph from April to May. He may have made a conscious (or even unconscious) decision not to contact him just yet, but it’s very likely that the higher range is out of reach now.

Syndergaard throws the plunger and slider at a similar frequency to their pre-hip rates, but has replaced about a quarter of his four stitches and a third of his curves with changes. In terms of platoon, Tailor preferred the Quad over diver to the left (33.6% vs. 10.5%), with plenty of changes (34.3%), but he barely threw four Tailors to the right (11.4%) which is far from it. More reliant on plunger (45.2%) and slider (22.1%, roughly twice as dependent as on the left) with about half of the changes (16.1%) seen by the left.

He replaced some of this velocity with the movement:

Pitch Noah Sendergaard

spit year Transit Drops horizon break
four stitches 2019 13.8 6.1
four stitches 2022 17.3 5.2
slider 2019 34.3 3.7
slider 2022 40.6 5.3
sinker 2019 19.2 14.2
sinker 2022 20.2 13.7
Curveball 2019 46.1 11.9
Curveball 2022 50.2 12.8
change 2019 24.5 15.5
change 2022 27.9 15.8

Source: world of baseball

The Syndergaard fastball drops more, meaning it gets less altitude—hardly a surprise when shifting from 98 mph to 94, particularly through a heater with a turnover rate of 22 percent. Indeed, in terms of percent height versus average On Statcast, it went from -9% in 2019 to -23% in ’22. The diver’s movement hasn’t changed much, but both of his broken balls (especially his slider) move a lot. However, within the small sample of this year’s work, the results at every step besides the sinker and curve didn’t come close to measuring past bull:

Presentation Results Noah Sendergaard

spit Years % Palestinian Authority AVG xBA SLG xSLG woopa xwOBA whiff%
4- Sim Fast Bowl 2015-19 30.3% 871 .247 .236 .394 .361 .305 .294 21.5%
4- Sim Fast Bowl 2022 23.0% 40 .394 .365 .697 .716 .495 .496 17.6%
sinker 2015-19 27.6% 845 .305 .273 .448 .417 .342 .321 16.1%
sinker 2022 27.1% 51 .104 .221 .125 .362 .122 .295 14.6%
slider 2015-19 15.3% 500 .188 .164 .263 .239 .206 .189 45.6%
slider 2022 16.7% 25 .292 .250 .500 .312 .356 .258 19.5%
Curveball 2015-19 11.9% 277 .203 .172 .342 .252 .245 .198 43.8%
Curveball 2022 7.7% 6 .167 .236 .167 .307 .148 .233 52.6%
change 2015-19 14.4% 432 .220 .214 .327 .301 .253 .245 36.2%
change 2022 25.5% 48 .311 .308 .400 .462 .321 .366 32.0%

Source: world of baseball

Syndergaard’s four-stitch speedball and change are quickly tattooed, and he’s got better-than-expected results on his diver and worse-than-expected results on his slider. It’s not a great place to be, and especially with his four-stitching deteriorating, he can’t function in the strike zone effectively anymore. Where it hits .182 hits, .278 hits, and flew on 27.7% of the pitches in the top third of the area and highest from 2015 to 1919, it was at .333/.333 (but with .477 xSLG) with a 20% sniff rate so far this season.

For all that, Syndergaard put in a good showing during his first five starts (2.45 ERA, 3.42 FIP, 29.1 IP) but came out early in two of his last three starts. Only two of the nine players who faced Rangers in Texas on May 16 retired and were charged with six runs (four earned), but he rebounded to throw eight innings of one-ball runs against them eight days later, in his third round. season against them.

It was Syndergaard’s last start before facing the Yankees, who pounced on him in four rounds in the first half on Tuesday. after retirement DJ Limaheu He walked on the hard-hit Grander Aaron Judge Then he gave up back-to-back complications Anthony Rizzo (96.6 mph) and Jaleber Torres (103.2 mph). In the previous , Mike Trout He tried to catch a dive but the ball caught his gauntlet, and at last, a trout slipped while chasing the vine off the top of the central field wall. Torres was initially called safe in third, but the call was called off via a restart because he briefly passed the bag during Matt Duffy Label applied. Miguel Andujar Then he dunked one into the center and stole the second, followed by Matt Carpenter Moving a mid-zone slider for a short 93-mph porch right-hand side would give the Yankees a 4-0 lead.

In the second half, LeMahieu burned the passer for 105.4 mph into left field, sending him home Joey Gallo With another run before Syndergaard escapes via Rizzo Groundout. After one by Torres to start the third, followed by a 102.4-mph flyball by Andújar, Syndergaard got the hook.

Syndergaard only had one swing and missed out of 45 pitches and faced a failure to stop his five-game losing streak, sayI dropped the ball and didn’t get the job done. Across Los Angeles Times“Mike DiGiovana, hu added“I kind of noticed how tense my upper body was, and it’s hard to put on a good show when you’re really tight.”

More via Bollinger:

“I felt pressure and tension in that first half,” said Sendergaard. “Baseball is a funny thing. It can be a really good start and after six days it’s just the opposite. My prep in between starts seemed really good, but then I was pushing all the time and trying to throw a ball through a garden hose instead of being free and easy and letting it explode.” I was really hitting the ball there and being late to the charges.”

At times during his run with the Mets, Syndergaard seemed superhuman, the ultimate pitcher of power, but his current 4.02 ERA, 3.91 FIP, 15.5% strike rate, and pitch combination all make him just plain ordinary. Admittedly, it is a work in progress early in the transition that many have to make mid-career. He’s got a lot of riding on how far he can improve or improve his first two months as an owner, and although it might not be quite as convincing as watching Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Taylor Ward Lighting up opposing shooters, it surely could have an impact on whether we see them in October.